GLII: The price of white LED chips will drop by over 50% in the next 2 years.

Text / High-tech LED Industry Research Institute (GLII)

According to the high-tech LED industry research institute, the price tracking results of 30 chips in the past two years found that the price of LED chips dropped very low in the third quarter of 2009-2010 due to the frenzied investment of LED packaging companies. Basically, it did not exceed 7%. After the fourth quarter of 2010, due to the large number of domestically invested chip factories began to increase volume and the number of imported chips increased, the price per quarter fell by more than 10%, even exceeding 24%. The trend continues to decrease.

According to the statistics of the High-tech LED Industry Research Institute, from January to November 2011, the overall average price of China's LED-sized power white light chips fell by nearly 40%. From the price data of the high-tech LED industry research institute, from January 2009 to November 2011, the price of China's LED white light chips continued to drop, and the price cuts were different in different periods; within two years, the Chinese LED white light chips fell by up to 70.71. %. It is expected that the price of major white LED chips in mainland China will continue and decline in the future, and the price reduction of medium and low-end chips is still the most obvious.

The main white light segment chip price data description:
Data range: Only select some LED white light segment chips sold in mainland China.
Chip manufacturers: mainly refers to all chip companies sold in mainland China
Time: January 2009 - November 2011
Price: The price data involved is the average price of the market. [The following small power chips are used to produce 3528 single crystal white light beads. The high power chip is used to produce 1W high power single crystal white light beads.]



As can be seen from Table 1, Figure 1, low-, medium-, and high-end products in low-power chips, before Q3 2010, the price cuts did not exceed 7%, and the price cuts from Q4 in 2010 far exceeded 2010. Before Q3, the price of the middle and low-end chips dropped the most, and the price cuts of high-end products were small and the trend was stable. In 2011, Q2 price cuts were the most prominent, with the low-power low-end chips falling by more than 24% in Q2 2011.

From the statistical data, it can be seen that the average price of low-end low-power chips in 2009 Q1 is 66.79 yuan / K, and by November 2011 this price dropped to 19.56 yuan / K, a drop of 70.71%, the average annual decline is 35.36 %. The average price of high-end low-power chips in Q1 2009 was 142.16 yuan / K, and by November 2011 this price dropped to 92.68 yuan / K, a drop of 34.81%, an average annual decline of 17.4%. It can be said that both low-end chips and high-end chips are in price cuts, especially after the 2010 Q4 price cut.

Taking the price of the mid-end chip as an example, it can be seen from the above statistics that the average price of Q1 in 2009 was 103.21 yuan/K, and the price of Q3 in 2010 dropped to 78.46 yuan/K, a drop of 23.98%; but by 2011 In November, the average price of mid-range low-power chips dropped to 36.78 yuan / K, compared with 78.46 yuan / K in the Q3 period of 2010, the decline reached 53.12%, far exceeding the price cuts from 2009 to 2010 Q3, its 2009 From November to November 2011, the decline reached 64.36%.

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