"Double-Link" Combines 5G to Take Off China-Made Mobile Phone and Faces Great Challenges

If the "double-pass" merger between Qualcomm and Broadcom is completed, it could bring a series of new challenges for domestic mobile phone manufacturers. Qualcomm has already established technology licensing agreements with over 150 Chinese companies, covering key technologies like 3G and 4G. With the upcoming mass production of 5G handsets, there's a risk that supply may not meet demand on time, putting domestic brands at a disadvantage compared to global giants like Apple and Samsung. Recently, Broadcom attempted to acquire Qualcomm, sparking intense debate in the tech industry. After its initial bid was rejected, Broadcom announced it would nominate 11 new directors to replace Qualcomm’s current board members. In response, Qualcomm emphasized that its board consists of 11 top global leaders who are committed to acting in the best interests of all shareholders. It criticized Broadcom’s move as an attempt to gain control of the board to push forward its acquisition plans, calling the nomination self-serving and conflicting with Qualcomm’s true value. Whether Broadcom’s acquisition serves its own shareholders or harms Qualcomm’s remains a contentious issue. However, from the perspective of China’s tech industry, a more pressing concern is the potential impact of the merger due to differing development philosophies and business models. Qualcomm operates as a high-tech company focused on long-term innovation, investing 20% of its annual revenue into R&D and accumulating over $47 billion in research investments. It has consistently led in developing 3G, 4G, and now 5G technologies, often starting R&D efforts 7–10 years ahead of industry trends. This approach has driven technological progress and enterprise growth through continuous innovation. In contrast, Broadcom appears more focused on short-term gains. Its R&D strategy targets low-risk markets with quick returns, which may hinder long-term technological advancements and negatively affect the smartphone and broader tech sectors. In terms of business model, Qualcomm has extensive partnerships with Chinese companies, including major brands like Xiaomi and VIVO, enabling them to leverage Qualcomm’s chip technology for product innovation. On the other hand, Broadcom’s approach has been described as "grabbing big and small," prioritizing relationships with large clients while imposing strict orders on smaller ones, sometimes leading to price hikes or supply shortages. If the merger goes through, many domestic manufacturers could face similar challenges, especially during the critical 5G rollout phase. Qualcomm has also actively supported the development of China’s high-tech industries. For instance, in 2016, it formed a joint venture with Guizhou to develop server chips, and earlier in 2014, it partnered with SMIC to manufacture chips using 28nm, later expanding to 14nm and 10nm processes. These collaborations have helped advance China’s semiconductor industry. However, Broadcom has shown little interest in similar partnerships, raising concerns about whether such cooperation would continue under its ownership. Ultimately, while the "double-pass" merger might be debated in terms of shareholder benefits, it poses significant risks for domestic smartphones and high-tech industries. Recently, Qualcomm released the Snapdragon 845, a powerful new processor expected to be widely adopted across various devices. Meanwhile, Broadcom’s acquisition offer has been criticized as undervaluing Qualcomm. With Qualcomm’s stock continuing to rise, the merger faces increasing uncertainty. This development is seen as positive news for the industry.

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